Blair’s Blunders
Avi Shlaim
Unpublished, 20 July 2005
Tony
Blair is a serial blunderer when it comes to the Middle East and the
so-called war on terror. His latest claim is that the London bombing is
unrelated to the Iraq war. Anyone who believes that will believe
anything. Few people do. A recent report by Chatham House, the
independent think-tank, pointed out that the key problem for the UK in
fighting terrorism is that the country is “riding as a pillion
passenger with the United States in the war against
terror.” There can be no excuse for the London atrocities
but even the security services had warned Blair of a potential upsurge
in domestic terrorism if Iraq was invaded. Nor did it take an expert to
predict this. Simon Schama wrote in the Guardian that an attack on Iraq
would turn the country into a teddy bears’ picnic for terrorists.
This is precisely what has happened. The invasion of Iraq has given a
powerful boost to the al-Qaeda network. The London bombs are part of
the fall-out or blow back.
Even if it is conceded,
for argument’s sake, that there is no link between the terrorist
attack in London and the Iraq war, Blair’s entire record in the
Middle East is still one of catastrophic failure. Blair used to portray
Britain as a bridge between the two sides of the Atlantic. By siding
with America against Europe over Iraq, however, he himself has helped
to destroy the bridge. Blair supported the Bush administration over
Iraq in the hope of exercising some influence over its policy. This was
a serious miscalculation. American policy was doomed to failure from
the start, and the end result has been to saddle Britain with a share
of the responsibility and the moral opprobrium for this failure. Unlike
Britain in its heyday, America is unfit to be an imperial power in the
Middle East. There are three reasons for this, all beginning with the
letter I: ideology, ignorance, and incompetence.
These three factors have
converged to turn Iraq into hell on earth. In Arabic there is a saying
that something that starts crooked remains crooked. In the case of Iraq
the war was illegal, the occupation was hopelessly mismanaged, and the
joy of liberation quickly turned sour. What we have in Iraq today is
chronic instability, an incipient civil war, endemic violence and
anarchy, an upsurge of terrorist activity of every kind, and a national
insurgency to which the allies have no answer. Occupation was
accompanied by devastation and destruction on a massive scale,
horrendous suffering, and a civilian death toll estimated at 25,000 by
the Oxford Research Group. The allies pride themselves on having
brought democracy to the Iraqi people but they have failed in the
primary duty of any government, namely, to provide security for the
civilian population. They themselves are now embroiled in a
vicious, protracted and unwinnable conflict. Against this background it
is hardly surprising that some Iraqis are beginning to wonder whether
they were not better off under the evil regime of Saddam Hussein.
When seeking the approval
of the House of Commons for the war, Tony Blair pledged that after Iraq
is disarmed, he and his American friends would seek a solution to the
Palestine problem. Here too he has failed miserably and his failure
continues to feed Arab and Muslim rage against Britain. The basic
problem is Israel’s occupation of Palestinian land and
Israel’s oppression of the Palestinian people. Starting a second
occupation in Iraq is not a solution to this problem. True, Blair was
the driving force behind the Quartet’s Road Map that envisaged
the emergence of an independent Palestinian state alongside Israel by
the end of 2005. But Ariel Sharon wrecked the Road Map with his plan
for unilateral disengagement from Gaza and the retention of the major
settlement blocs on the West Bank. George Bush’s support for
Sharon’s plan amounted to an abrupt reversal of American policy
since 1967 which regarded the settlements as an obstacle to peace. Tony
Blair’s public endorsement of this plan was the most egregious
British betrayal of the Palestinians since the Balfour Declaration of
1917.
The misbegotten war in
Iraq, the suffering of the Iraqi people, and the double standards
displayed by Blair over Palestine have all magnified the terrorist
threat against Britain even if they are not the primary motive. Tony
Blair’s glib talk about the need to pull terrorism up by the
roots reveals a basic misunderstanding of this complex phenomenon.
Terror is simply a technique of warfare, the weapon of the weak, and
the term “war on terror” is therefore a misnomer. Terrorism
is a response to social, economic, and political problems and unless
these root problems are addressed, terror will persist. The war on
terror is also an unhelpful concept because it deflects attention from
the context in which terrorists emerge to the military means for
fighting them. This rigid, simplistic, selective, and one-dimensional
view of terrorism is part of the problem, not part of the solution. As
long as Tony Blair adheres to it, he will continue to serve, alongside
his American friends, as a recruiting sergeant for al-Qaeda.
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