Egypt's "Autumn of Fury":
The Construction of Opposition to the Egyptian-Israeli Peace Process between
1973 and 1981
|
||
M.Phil Thesis in Modern Middle Eastern Studies |
||
Full Thesis (PDF format204 k) | ||
Appendix (html format) | ||
CONTENTS |
||
I. Introduction | ||
II. Toward a Constructivist Approach | ||
III. The Lessons of October | ||
IV. Engagements and Disengagements: Octobeer 1973-September 1975 | ||
V. "Peace" and Authoritarianism: September 1975-March 1979 | ||
VI. "No Peace for Egypt": March 1979-October 1981 | ||
VII. Conclusion | ||
VIII. Appendix | ||
The
people of Egypt could be easily manipulated by Sadat and their beliefs
and attitudes could be shaped by their leader.”
Israeli Prime Minister Menachem Begin at Camp
David after being told that the Egyptian public would tolerate no further
concessions. From Telhami. Power and Leadership in International
Bargaining.
Isn’t
power a sort of generalised war which assumes at particular moments
the forms of peace and the state? Peace would then be a form of war,
and the state a means of waging it.
Michel Foucault in Rabinow, Paul (Ed). The
Foucault Reader. 65
1.
Introduction
In the small hours of 3 September
1981, Egyptian president Anwar al-Sadat ordered the arrest of 1,536
opposition figures. As the feminist Nawal al-Sa‘dawi later said,
those who shared a prison cell had nothing in common other than their
opposition to the Egyptian peace treaty with Israel. The president
planned to release the detainees on 26 April 1982- the day on which
Israeli forces were scheduled to complete their withdrawal from the
Sinai Peninsula occupied in the June War of 1967. But as Sadat confessed
to his daughter, he had a strong premonition that he would not live
to see the day.
[1]
On 6 October 1981, Khalid al-Islambuli- a lieutenant
in the Egyptian Army- gunned Sadat down at a military parade commemorating
the October War of 1973 in which Egyptian troops had launched a successful
assault against Israeli forces occupying the Sinai. The President’s
fate appeared to be tragically intertwined with the dynamics of Egyptian-Israeli
relations. His widow was “one hundred per cent certain”
that her “husband was killed because he made peace with Israel.”
[2]
Sadat’s untimely death
presents a paradox. Reflecting on Egypt’s defeat in 1967, Mohamed
Heikal wrote that former President Gamal ‘Abd al-Nasir “failed in one of the fundamental
duties of any ruler- he failed to defend the borders of his country.
By that failure the legitimacy of his régime
was flawed.”
[3]
Yet when Sadat launched the October War
six years later, he appeared to retrieve much of the legitimacy his
predecessor had lost. By signing the Camp David Peace Accords in March
1979, Sadat freed the Sinai from Israeli occupation and insulated
Egypt’s eastern borders from future attack. Yet two years later,
the country became engulfed in what Heikal has dubbed Egypt’s ‘Autumn
of Fury’. What went wrong? The present study will try to
address this question by exploring the ideational milieu within which
Sadat conducted his rapprochement with Israel. Drawing on the print
media, the following chapters will argue that the discursive construction
of opposition to the peace process following the October War contributed
to the gradual increase in political tension. Following the October
War, the left-wing media helped mould three overlapping forms of identification-
Egyptian nationalism, Islam and Arabism. These identities not only
shaped the way in which Egyptians interpreted the unfolding of the
peace process, but also created policy preferences that were directly
at odds with Sadat’s belief in Egypt’s need to make peace
with Israel. Thus, the October War fed into the articulation of a
‘national interest’ at variance with Sadat’s vision
of it. The conceptual disparity provided the discursive soil for the
subsequent emergence of political dissent. The gradual emergence of political
discontent after 1973 owed much to the way in which Sadat’s
pursuit of peace seemed to violate these shared normative constructs.
Insofar as the October War was a boon to Arabism, Egyptian media were
inclined to interpret any Israeli threat to the security of another
Arab country as a threat to Egypt herself. Since Cairo’s phased
retreat from the Arabs’ war-time coalition after 1973 appeared
to facilitate Israel’s increased belligerence, it generated
dissatisfaction with the peace process. Yet as Sadat’s reliance
on US mediation could still secure the return of occupied Egyptian
land in keeping with Egypt’s improved military position in the
wake of the war, Sadat’s pursuit of an Egyptian-Israeli settlement
did not yet appear to conflict significantly with the policy preferences
formulated by Egyptians. Following the Sinai II Disengagement
Treaty in September 1975, however, Egypt experienced a growing mobilisation
of opposition to the peace process. Political, demographic and social
transformations provided the backdrop for the dissemination of an
‘Islamic’ discourse that dovetailed considerably with
policy preferences earlier enunciated by the left. While Israel’s
apparent military resurgence raised anxieties over Egypt’s security,
the peace process now also resulted in the erosion of the limited
democratic liberties Egyptians had secured after the October War.
The increasing radicalisation of political opposition after 1975 thus
stemmed from concern over the way in which increasing authoritarianism
at home accompanied Israel’s growing military might abroad. When the ink dried on the Camp
David Accords, the resilience of a pan-Arabist outlook ensured that
Israel’s increased military activities in the region continued
to be perceived as an attack on Egypt itself. Sadat’s decision
to respond to the mounting discontent with growing authoritarianism
meant that opposition to the peace treaty was equated with a defence
of democratisation. The result was to erode the legitimacy of Sadat’s
régime and usher into Egypt’s ‘Autumn of Fury’.
Whereas the October War had been identified with national liberation,
Arab unity and democratisation, by the end of the decade ‘peace’
had become a by-word for authoritarianism and military surrender.
Insofar as the Egyptian media called attention to the ways in which
the peace process clashed with the identities and policy preferences
they had helped articulate after the October War, they contributed
to the growth of opposition to the régime. The present focus on the discursive
milieu within which Sadat conducted the peace process is not to suggest
that Cairo’s relations with Tel Aviv constituted the only factor
fuelling opposition in the 1970s. Many writers have pointed to the
country’s economic decline to explain the growth of political
protest.
[4]
The subsequent discussion will, therefore, refrain
from trying to advance any mono-causal explanations. It will, however,
concentrate on the manner in which the peace process alienated a growing
segment of the Egyptian population because this aspect has received
insufficient attention. As the following chapter will argue, the reason
for this oversight owes much to the assumptions of rational-choice
theory that inform a substantial body of literature on the period.
[1] Beattie, Kirk J. Egypt During the Sadat Years. Palgrave: New York, 2000. 274 [2] Finklestone, Joseph. Anwar Sadat: Visionary who dared. Frank Cass: London, 1996. xiv [3] Heikal, Mohamed. Autumn of Fury. Andre Deutsch: London, 1983. 114 [4] See Tomita, Hiroshi. “The Decline of Legitimacy in Sadat’s Egypt: 1979-1981.” BRISMES Proceedings of the 1986 International Conference on Middle Eastern Studies. British Society for Middle East Studies: Oxford, 1986, pp. 253-267
|